BrendaEM wrote:
Seeing that this thread festers still....
It would be interesting to know the crashes per miles on each type of scooter, of each length of experience, and or each area, and road condition.
Yes, you can infer from the the criteria I have chosen that I believe that inexperienced riders will crash more often, more often in congested areas with bad road conditions. Generally, I would guess that the scooter that gets ridden the most--crashes the most. Unless I am wrong, I think that most of the accidents happen outside the garage.
[Being cynical, I wonder if those people who receive their scooters crash more often, because they have less invested, and place a low Dollar/Euro value on their body, which is probably the same formula I would guess the vintage people are using, yet, are not the modern's getting the miles? They're faster too.]
Brenda-
Until very recently, no efforts were made in the US to determine PTW mishaps exposure rates (mishaps/100,00 miles), most likely because PTWs were primarily recreational vehicles, and estimating annual driving totals was considered too difficult. Further, "recreational use" vehicles tend to be operated under different circumstances and in different environments than daily ride vehicles.
You might find t
his report on fatalities in WA interesting, as 93% of the fatal mishaps occurred on dry roads, and 67% in daylight. In short, environmental causative factors are minimal, and rider behavior was dominant in mishap causation. Only 18% of the mishaps investigated were found to involve no rider error contributing to the mishap causation!
As I posted previously, I tend to point to fatal mishap statistics because they are the most rigorously investigated and documented, and have a virtually 100% reporting rate. I would venture to guess that many PTW mishaps that do not involve serious injury, a second vehicle or damage to property, particularly of others, go unreported. I doubt the young fellow I spoke of above formally reported any of the four times he was "thrown off my bike" on public roads. However, in a social discussion group, such as MV, there may very well be a propensity, as others have suggested, to offer up mishap experiences, much as might be done in a local cafe over a souma or two. Once such posts become the "norm", they will become regular fare, and thus the issue that was put on the table by chad in the first place.
Guessing that "the scooter that gets ridden most crashes most" suggests that mishaps are inevitable and cannot generally be prevented. Since many studies find that factors well within the rider's control account for 50% or more of PTW mishaps, it would be reasonable to think that the greatest risk is "normal" rider behavior, such as alcohol impairment, speeding, inattention and lane errors. None of these are significantly experience dependent. Convince riders to avoid what has been "normal", and of very high risk, and mishaps will be reduced, even if they ride more often.
Law enforcement agencies do not generally collect experience level information when investigating mishaps. Thus one can only speculate about the relationship between riding experience levels and mishap rates. Further, as we often quipped in military aviation, there is a big difference between 5 years' flying experience and one year's experience repeated five times.
Al