ericalm wrote:
But the 2010 decrease in the Americas is much higher than in any of Piaggio's other units. So something, somewhere seems to have gone very awry and I find it hard to attribute that entirely to miscalculation.
Keep in mind, as I stated above, NA is the only market where Piaggio has to deal with "model years", and that, coupled with the requirement for making NA market machines in discreet production runs is very significant. Sort of like dealing with quantum numbers.
If a miscalculation over stocks the channels of distribution, manufacturing several quanta of the next model year is fool hearty. As someone mentioned, Sukuki appears to have skipped the 2010 model year. It's a real planning nightmare when you are dealing in relatively small numbers, as compared to all other markets. If Piaggio sent too many Vespas to Greece, they can be redistributed to many other EU markets. If they send too few to Greece, Italy market machines can be diverted to Greece. N.A. market Vespas can only be sold in N.A.
ericalm wrote:
The motive may be my interpretation, but it's commonly discussed that Piaggio pushes a lot of stock on its dealers (some of whom have told me this firsthand, often using stronger language than "pushes").
Yes, but as I stated, keeping 2009s in a warehouse creates its own problems. Especially when the model year is finished. Having stock on the floor of a showroom is more likely to move it than it being available "on order", especially once it is last year's stuff. I'm not saying it's an optimal situation, just an understandable one. Someone over estimated 2009 demand. Could have been Piaggio all by themselves, and they could have had help from their dealer network. Neither of us knows. What we do know is that if was made for N.A., that's the only place where it can be sold.
Add to the above that Vespa is a higher end scooter, in a market that is immature and poorly defined in North America, and it gets even squirrelier.
Piaggio may not be doing what is pleasing to us on MV, but most of us have already bought our machines. The expansion of the market needs people other than "us". If the "us" is saturated, then they need to stimulate new markets, and the image of PTWs and economics may be stifling the emergence of that new market segment.
Take a look at consumer spending in the US. People are cutting back on groceries, and we are expecting Piaggio to be able to stimulate PTW sales?
It's time to get realistic about how the general population is willing to spend its discretionary dollars, and how much money a $14 million sales operation can spend to make scooters seem non-discretionary.
flanman- have you ever considered how many Vespas Piaggio would have to sell to pay for a $100,000, 30 second one time, non-prime time national TV commercial? There's a reason you haven't seen one.