Aviator47 wrote:
Where I disagree, Jess, is the "obviousness" of the motives, or stating without question what those motives are. Your logic is that Piaggio overschedules production in order to pad sales figures to dealers without regard to retail sales potential. My point was that someone over estimated the market. Could have been Piaggio, or Piaggio in concert with the overall dealer network. Once that overproduction took place, the only use for those vehicles was the N.A. market. Once that N.A. VIN is stamped on the chassis, it can only be a N.A. market scooter. Keeping retail inventory that "ages" hidden in a warehouse is not sound business. Sadly, the only place that offers visible inventory in this business is a dealer's floor. Unless we define that it is Piaggio's job to make being a dealer risk free, such is the nature of the game.
Now, if Piaggio had scheduled production without a plan for where these scooter would have gone, we would be attacking them for that. And, by definition, a "plan" means making decisions in advance. Since N.A. market scooter production has to be scheduled in advance, and since it has to take the arbitrary "model year" issue into account, for a small market such as the US, it's close to a crap shoot. Especially when the economy tanks.
If Piaggio makes too few US market machines, they are "indifferent" and if they make too many, they are "irresponsible". I'm not defending Piaggio, just questioning the twists in logic that ensure that Piaggio is always wrong. Especially when so many people have posted here that this or that failed dealer "had no business opening a dealership in the first place". As I have said numerous times, Vespas for the N.A. market must be made in discreet factory runs. Since manufacturing must be done in some minimum quantity, the margin for error is quite thin.
Piaggio's obvious motive is to keep production levels high....they are a manufacturing company, not a scooter company. They just happen to manufacture scooters.
Many manufacturers and distributors use tiered pricing to induce sales in bigger numbers. Making smaller purchases not as cost-competitive as larger quantities....often forcing the hand of the retailer. Many industries specialize in "Baker's dozens" to encourage sales of widgets in double digit increments. I don't know if Piaggio uses these programs, but it's very commonplace. Moving "tonnage" is a term used a lot in the channel.
If Piaggio, or any other manufacturer sold direct to the public here, without the middleman or "buffer" which is their distributors and dealer channel, they would be much more in touch with everything from their customer demographics which in turn would impact the inventory levels THEY would keep at the retail level, the advertising, faster reaction to broad service issues like failing exhaust gaskets, etc. were they in the trenches.
Manufacturing entities have to forecast production runs, but those runs have to meet certain baseline numbers to be viable from a manufacturing standpoint, ....these are production goals, not typically sales goals based on actual demand, but what seemed to make sense from a cost standpoint at the point of origin.
Piaggio's customers are it's dealers, and distributors. Not those of us here on MV and other "end-users". We are the customer's of our individual dealers....the dealer and it's staff are the one's we have the relationship with. They are in turn the customers of Piaggio and it's distributors like Vespa USA, with whom THEY have a relationship with.
Making your distributors commit to, and arrange for the appropriate letters of credit etc annually to help keep the "line" churning out widgets is a critical and often miscalculated, (either intentionally or not) step in the supply chain. If a manufacturer has built "X" amount of inventory, they gotta move it regardless....stuffing it into the warehouses of it's direct clients is the way. Once that happens, the problem is no longer theirs (at least in the short-term as we've seen lately here with failing dealers and inventory being returned)
Often in manufacturing, the sales goals (challenges) come after the fact, it's the tail wagging the dog....
"how we gonna move all these widgets?..." is a very common dilemma to those charged with marketing to end-users.
There's no doubt that Piaggio, and many other manufacturers of EVERYTHING overproduce in advance of demand in order to keep people employeed, suppliers happy, make lease payments on equipment, etc.....in the case of big-ticket items like scooters, or business equipment etc., the ultimate burden to inventory and final-market the product is too often placed on the small businessperson down the street.